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Red104
338823.7
561469.7
616818.4
Blue38
158013.1
193732.0
973918.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1333405010015020010438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+54Teleop
+66Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
27Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#5
39Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
12Processor points0
4Net points8
16Algae points8
55Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
6Foul points6
104Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.9
69.268.3
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
red by 37.7
1937
#24
32.01.3
23.221.9
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
Second
23.71.5
16.915.4
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
red by 4.8
9739
#20
18.81.3
13.412.2
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Third
6168
#28
18.41.5
25.423.9
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
red by 5.3
1580
#32
13.11.3
7.56.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
42%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed