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Red49
221213.0
165726.7
321131.5
Blue51
432029.0
1013917.0
513515.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86420501001504951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +8
6Coral scored#7
22Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
32Total teleop40
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
49Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3211
#10
31.52.9
29.927.0
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
red by 2.5
4320
#16
29.00.7
20.120.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Second
1657
#15
26.72.9
27.124.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
red by 9.8
17.00.7
9.810.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
2212
#13
13.02.9
20.117.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 2.7
5135
#30
15.70.7
14.615.3
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed