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Qual 412025 ISR District Event #2
Red101
307536.7
703937.5
223157.0
Blue123
459037.3
223049.9
974018.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12296406080140160180101123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
3Coral scored#7
14Coral points34
20Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points47
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
67Total teleop79
Reef
4L4#10
4L3#3
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
101Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2231
#4
57.01.3
42.4→41.1
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
red by 7.1
2230
#5
49.92.9
48.9→51.8
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
Second
7039
#17
37.51.3
34.5→33.3
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
red by 0.1
4590
#7
37.32.9
32.2→35.1
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Third
3075
#11
36.71.3
36.3→35.0
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
red by 18.2
9740
#29
18.52.9
13.6→16.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed