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Red81
307536.7
331623.6
784524.5
Blue93
165726.7
711224.9
474431.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102780501508193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
0Teleop0
+2Endgame
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
58Total teleop52
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points14
81Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#11
36.70.7
32.131.5
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
red by 5.4
31.31.0
21.622.6
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Second
7845
#18
24.50.7
28.227.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
blue by 2.3
1657
#15
26.71.0
29.130.1
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
Third
3316
#23
23.60.7
26.826.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 1.3
7112
#22
24.91.0
19.520.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed