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Red93
157445.5
458620.8
193732.0
Blue106
432029.0
223049.9
221213.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977605015093106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +33
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#9
3L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
24Foul points6
93Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.52.2
36.133.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
blue by 4.4
49.93.0
24.227.1
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
Second
1937
#24
32.02.2
25.723.5
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
red by 3.0
4320
#16
29.03.0
23.226.2
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Third
4586
#33
20.82.2
21.118.8
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 7.8
2212
#13
13.03.0
20.723.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned