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Red41
333950.2
784524.5
711224.9
Blue91
158013.1
157445.5
555424.9
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125620501001502004191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+52
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +24
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points31
13Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#12
16Coral points42
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
24Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#7
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
41Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.26.9
49.943.0
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 4.7
45.52.9
36.439.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Second
7112
#22
24.96.9
27.820.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Level
5554
#25
24.92.9
20.823.6
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
Third
7845
#18
24.56.9
29.822.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 11.4
1580
#32
13.12.9
6.19.0
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed