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Red124
331623.6
338823.7
599060.8
Blue123
561469.7
598742.5
195417.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73132050100150200250124123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+5Teleop
Endgame+7
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
5Coral scored#7
23Coral points34
23Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#14
59Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
91Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#10
5L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
8Foul points0
124Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.84.6
38.843.4
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
blue by 8.9
69.70.6
68.368.8
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
23.74.3
15.419.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
blue by 18.8
5987
#12
42.50.9
34.034.8
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Third
3316
#23
23.64.3
20.024.3
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
red by 6.0
1954
#31
17.60.9
12.513.4
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned