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Red74
474431.3
267920.1
193732.0
Blue65
674030.4
165726.7
458620.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727702003004005006007465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +19
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
66Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points6
74Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1937
#24
32.00.9
21.922.9
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
red by 1.6
6740
#21
30.40.8
27.726.8
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Second
31.30.9
21.522.5
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
red by 4.6
1657
#15
26.70.8
24.123.3
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
Third
2679
#26
20.10.9
20.821.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 0.7
4586
#33
20.80.8
15.915.1
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned