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Red95
321131.5
307536.7
158013.1
Blue173
571526.0
223157.0
157445.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7012105010015020025095173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+54
Endgame+54
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points21
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points67
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
69Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points24
95Total score173

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#11
36.71.8
35.036.8
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
blue by 20.3
57.03.6
41.144.7
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
Second
3211
#10
31.51.8
27.028.8
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
blue by 14.0
45.53.6
39.342.9
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Third
1580
#32
13.11.8
9.010.8
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
blue by 12.9
5715
#27
26.03.9
25.129.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned