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Red54
555424.9
221213.0
331623.6
Blue106
703937.5
338823.7
157628.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions678205010015020054106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+46
Endgame+56
Fouls+52
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points19
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +43
4Coral scored#12
13Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
19Total teleop62
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +52
12Foul points8
54Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5554
#25
24.92.2
23.621.4
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
blue by 12.6
7039
#17
37.52.2
33.335.4
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Second
3316
#23
23.62.2
24.322.1
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 4.7
1576
#14
28.32.4
22.324.6
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
Third
2212
#13
13.02.2
17.214.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 10.7
23.72.2
19.821.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned