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Red102
195417.6
432029.0
459037.3
Blue171
333950.2
973918.8
561469.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63140050100200250102171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+19
Teleop+65
Endgame+67
Fouls+69
AutonomousBlue +19
6Leave3
3Coral scored#7
15Coral points37
21Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +46
16Coral scored#25
59Coral points91
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
77Total teleop123
Reef
6L4#11
5L3#9
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
0Foul points2
102Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.32.1
35.137.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 32.4
69.72.3
68.871.1
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
4320
#16
29.02.1
20.822.9
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
blue by 21.2
50.23.3
43.046.2
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
Third
1954
#31
17.62.2
13.415.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
blue by 1.2
9739
#20
18.83.3
12.215.4
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned68%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsMissed