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Red72
223049.9
616818.4
571526.0
Blue78
784524.5
165726.7
338823.7
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116660501001502007278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+2
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave3
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points15
23Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +5
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
45Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
2Foul points6
72Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.93.3
51.848.5
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
red by 23.2
1657
#15
26.70.3
23.323.6
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
Second
5715
#27
26.03.3
29.025.7
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 1.5
7845
#18
24.50.4
22.923.3
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
6168
#28
18.43.6
23.920.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
blue by 5.3
23.70.3
21.922.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned