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Red120
561469.7
307536.7
221213.0
Blue96
333950.2
195417.6
267920.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1408305010020025012096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points37
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +21
15Coral scored#10
54Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
78Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
2Foul points0
120Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.5
71.170.6
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
red by 19.5
50.20.8
46.247.1
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
Second
3075
#11
36.70.7
36.836.1
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
red by 16.6
2679
#26
20.10.8
21.822.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
2212
#13
13.00.7
14.914.3
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
blue by 4.6
1954
#31
17.60.9
15.616.5
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed