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Red97
598742.5
432029.0
555424.9
Blue62
458620.8
974018.5
703937.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions877002040601001201401609762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
16Coral scored#10
59Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
79Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
0Foul points0
97Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#12
42.51.5
35.837.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 5.0
7039
#17
37.50.5
35.434.9
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Second
4320
#16
29.01.5
22.924.4
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 8.3
4586
#33
20.80.5
15.114.5
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
Third
5554
#25
24.91.5
21.422.9
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
red by 6.4
9740
#29
18.50.5
17.517.0
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed