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Red160
599060.8
157445.5
973918.8
Blue54
616818.4
321131.5
784524.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1207505010015020025016054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+94Teleop
+92Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave3
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points9
47Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +59
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
95Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#1
5L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
14Foul points0
160Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.83.9
47.151.0
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
red by 29.3
3211
#10
31.51.6
28.827.2
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
Second
45.53.6
42.946.5
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
red by 21.0
7845
#18
24.51.6
23.321.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
9739
#20
18.83.6
15.419.0
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 0.5
6168
#28
18.41.8
20.318.5
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed