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Red88
974018.5
157628.3
307536.7
Blue81
338823.7
158013.1
598742.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions867602040601001201401608881

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+5Teleop
Endgame+5
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points22
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +18
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
63Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
12Foul points0
88Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3075
#11
36.70.2
36.135.9
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
blue by 5.8
5987
#12
42.50.8
37.338.1
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
1576
#14
28.30.2
25.525.2
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
red by 4.6
23.70.8
22.323.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Third
9740
#29
18.50.2
17.016.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
red by 5.4
1580
#32
13.10.8
11.612.4
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned