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Red117
459037.3
571526.0
333950.2
Blue76
711224.9
267920.1
432029.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1277105010015020025011776

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+27Teleop
+29Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
3Leave3
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
13Coral scored#13
45Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
55Total teleop60
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points0
117Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.4
47.146.7
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 21.2
4320
#16
29.00.3
24.424.7
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
Second
37.30.4
37.336.9
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 12.4
7112
#22
24.90.3
25.025.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Third
5715
#27
26.00.5
25.725.2
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
red by 5.9
2679
#26
20.10.3
22.622.9
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed