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Red105
458620.8
223049.9
555424.9
Blue112
561469.7
674030.4
513515.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86136050100150200250105112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#12
37Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#6
12Processor points12
20Net points24
32Algae points36
69Total teleop80
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
105Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.91.6
48.450.0
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
blue by 19.8
69.70.4
70.670.2
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
5554
#25
24.91.6
22.924.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
blue by 5.6
6740
#21
30.40.5
31.631.1
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Third
4586
#33
20.81.6
14.516.1
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 5.1
5135
#30
15.70.5
16.215.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned