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Red117
973918.8
474431.3
223049.9
Blue59
711224.9
221213.0
338823.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10359015020011759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points13
30Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +40
16Coral scored#8
59Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
73Total teleop33
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#4
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
117Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.91.7
50.051.6
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
red by 25.0
7112
#22
24.90.2
25.325.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5
Second
31.31.7
27.429.1
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
red by 7.7
23.70.2
23.122.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.2
End2.3
Third
9739
#20
18.81.7
17.218.8
Auto4.8
Teleop13.4
End0.6
red by 5.9
2212
#13
13.00.2
13.313.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed