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Red132
432029.0
784524.5
223157.0
Blue100
267920.1
561469.7
1013917.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061200200300400132100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+24Teleop
+34Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points34
27Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +34
15Coral scored#9
55Coral points31
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
79Total teleop45
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
2Foul points4
132Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.02.1
54.356.4
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
blue by 12.7
69.71.0
70.269.1
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
Second
4320
#16
29.02.1
24.726.8
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9
red by 9.0
2679
#26
20.11.1
22.921.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
Third
7845
#18
24.52.1
22.524.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
red by 7.5
17.01.2
18.217.0
Auto5.6
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned