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Red95
459037.3
555424.9
674030.4
Blue102
157445.5
974018.5
616818.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058305015020095102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+19
Endgame+15
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +2
13Coral scored#16
48Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
72Total teleop70
Reef
6L4#8
4L3#6
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
8Foul points0
95Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
36.936.5
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
blue by 8.2
45.51.7
45.547.2
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
Second
6740
#21
30.40.4
31.130.7
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
red by 11.9
9740
#29
18.51.7
16.818.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.0
End1.2
Third
5554
#25
24.90.4
24.524.1
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End0.5
red by 6.5
6168
#28
18.41.9
16.518.4
Auto5.0
Teleop13.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed