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Red125
321131.5
333950.2
703937.5
Blue105
193732.0
331623.6
157628.3
90%Model gave it10%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13070050100150200125105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +14
14Coral scored#15
51Coral points53
4Processor algae#4
7Net algae#3
24Processor points24
28Net points12
52Algae points36
103Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
125Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.20.7
46.747.4
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 18.2
1937
#24
32.02.4
26.729.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
Second
7039
#17
37.50.7
36.036.6
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
red by 9.2
1576
#14
28.32.7
25.227.9
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
Third
3211
#10
31.50.7
31.131.8
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
red by 7.9
3316
#23
23.62.4
20.422.8
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed