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Red147
165726.7
598742.5
599060.8
Blue69
307536.7
513515.7
195417.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1306805010015020025014769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+78Teleop
+78Endgame
+78Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +47
24Coral scored#11
85Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
12Processor points6
4Net points8
16Algae points14
101Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#4
12L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +78
0Foul points0
147Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.82.4
55.257.6
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
red by 24.1
3075
#11
36.70.0
35.935.9
Auto3.9
Teleop28.3
End4.4
Second
5987
#12
42.52.1
38.140.3
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
red by 24.9
1954
#31
17.60.0
17.717.6
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End0.9
Third
1657
#15
26.72.1
24.726.8
Auto6.0
Teleop17.5
End3.2
red by 11.1
5135
#30
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto0.6
Teleop12.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed