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Red148
474431.3
223157.0
458620.8
Blue69
784524.5
158013.1
571526.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9959015020014869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+69Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +52
23Coral scored#9
82Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
18Processor points6
4Net points12
22Algae points18
104Total teleop52
Reef
9L4#5
9L3#2
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
148Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.04.9
49.554.3
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
red by 31.0
5715
#27
26.00.8
25.226.0
Auto4.0
Teleop20.7
End1.3
Second
31.34.9
22.627.4
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
red by 6.9
7845
#18
24.50.8
21.722.5
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End4.5
Third
4586
#33
20.84.4
16.120.5
Auto2.7
Teleop17.5
End0.6
red by 7.7
1580
#32
13.10.7
12.413.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed