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Red84
157445.5
267920.1
223049.9
Blue121
598742.5
432029.0
474431.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261025015020084121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points17
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +32
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points48
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
50Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
84Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.8
50.749.9
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
red by 7.4
5987
#12
42.50.5
41.742.2
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
45.50.8
46.345.5
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
red by 14.2
31.30.5
30.631.0
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Third
2679
#26
20.10.8
20.820.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 9.0
4320
#16
29.00.5
28.328.7
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9