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Red150
157628.3
223157.0
561469.7
Blue165
599060.8
193732.0
333950.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16714150100200250300150165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+39
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
8Coral scored#9
41Coral points45
44Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +32
14Coral scored#19
50Coral points70
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
78Total teleop110
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#9
6L2#6
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points0
150Total score165

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.70.2
70.169.9
Auto21.2
Teleop39.6
End9.0
red by 8.9
60.80.6
59.560.1
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
Second
57.00.2
57.457.2
Auto16.7
Teleop33.6
End6.7
red by 6.8
50.20.6
49.149.6
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
Third
1576
#14
28.30.2
28.628.4
Auto4.2
Teleop22.2
End1.9
blue by 3.7
1937
#24
32.00.6
30.831.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5