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Red117
157445.5
267920.1
223049.9
Blue107
703937.5
459037.3
331623.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12610150150200117107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+8Teleop
Endgame+4
+10Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
2Coral scored#7
10Coral points33
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +25
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points38
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
24Processor points12
20Net points8
44Algae points20
83Total teleop58
Reef
3L4#6
6L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +10
14Foul points0
117Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.90.4
51.050.7
Auto13.0
Teleop31.6
End5.3
red by 12.4
7039
#17
37.50.2
37.337.5
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
Second
45.50.4
46.646.3
Auto15.1
Teleop26.0
End4.4
red by 8.2
37.30.2
37.137.3
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
Third
2679
#26
20.10.4
21.220.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.8
End1.2
blue by 3.5
3316
#23
23.60.2
23.423.6
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7