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Red107
703937.5
459037.3
331623.6
Blue116
598742.5
432029.0
474431.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10399050150200250107116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points7
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
11Coral scored#16
41Coral points57
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
65Total teleop81
Reef
7L4#6
2L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points8
107Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7039
#17
37.50.2
36.636.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.5
End4.4
blue by 5.0
5987
#12
42.50.3
40.340.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.5
End4.1
Second
37.30.2
36.536.7
Auto11.7
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 6.0
31.30.3
29.129.4
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End2.4
Third
3316
#23
23.60.2
22.823.0
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End1.7
blue by 5.4
4320
#16
29.00.3
26.827.1
Auto4.7
Teleop21.4
End2.9