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Red213
599060.8
193732.0
333950.2
Blue105
711224.9
321131.5
674030.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14988050200250213105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+96Teleop
+106Endgame
+108Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave0
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points9
51Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
27Coral scored#18
98Coral points64
5Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
30Processor points18
16Net points8
46Algae points26
144Total teleop90
Reef
20L4#8
8L3#5
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
46Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +108
2Foul points0
213Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.81.8
57.659.4
Auto17.7
Teleop39.9
End3.2
red by 29.3
3211
#10
31.50.3
31.832.1
Auto4.8
Teleop25.5
End1.3
Second
50.21.7
47.449.0
Auto14.7
Teleop34.4
End1.1
red by 19.8
6740
#21
30.40.3
30.731.0
Auto4.7
Teleop23.7
End2.0
Third
1937
#24
32.01.7
29.130.8
Auto4.1
Teleop25.5
End2.5
red by 7.1
7112
#22
24.90.3
25.125.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.2
End3.5