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Red121
307544.2
157449.2
529126.1
Blue142
306542.1
598747.2
209645.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11914450100200121142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+19
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +11
20Coral scored#22
71Coral points80
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
18Processor points12
8Net points16
26Algae points28
97Total teleop108
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#4
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points2
121Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.20.3
45.545.8
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
red by 2.1
5987
#10
47.20.2
42.542.7
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
Second
44.20.3
36.737.0
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
blue by 1.4
45.70.2
41.741.9
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Third
5291
#29
26.10.4
21.922.3
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
blue by 16.0
3065
#14
42.10.2
38.238.4
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsEarned