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Red206
599069.9
157627.8
169095.9
Blue116
513523.7
333958.3
1069512.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18471050100150200250300206116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+108Teleop
+98Endgame
+90Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
9Leave9
10Coral scored#5
52Coral points24
61Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +80
26Coral scored#10
95Coral points35
2Processor algae#2
8Net algae#3
12Processor points12
32Net points12
44Algae points24
139Total teleop59
Reef
13L4#3
12L3#5
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
46Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +90
0Foul points8
206Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.92.5
72.875.4
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 37.5
58.31.8
50.252.0
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
Second
69.92.8
60.863.6
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 46.2
5135
#25
23.71.8
15.717.5
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Third
1576
#12
27.82.8
28.331.1
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
red by 15.5
12.21.8
9.711.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsEarned