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Red73
717712.5
706716.5
674040.1
Blue41
623014.9
267931.0
321125.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174204060801001201407341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#5
36Coral points17
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
52Total teleop27
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
8Foul points0
73Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.0
30.430.4
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
red by 9.1
2679
#15
31.01.6
20.118.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Second
7067
#19
16.50.0
17.817.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 9.1
3211
#23
25.51.6
31.529.9
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
Third
7177
#28
12.50.0
16.916.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 2.4
6230
#20
14.91.6
13.812.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed