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Red202
169095.9
513523.7
209645.7
Blue84
674040.1
616816.1
306542.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1711025015020025020284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+110Teleop
+118Endgame
+118Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
3Leave0
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +75
28Coral scored#13
102Coral points47
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
144Total teleop69
Reef
9L4#6
9L3#5
10L2#3
8L1 · trough#1
45Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +118
0Foul points0
202Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.94.0
77.781.7
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 53.7
3065
#14
42.10.7
40.639.8
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Second
45.74.0
44.448.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
red by 5.6
40.10.7
32.331.5
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Third
5135
#25
23.74.0
17.721.6
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
red by 7.6
6168
#27
16.10.7
19.318.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
65%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed