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Qual 142025 ISR District Event #3
Red163
441622.6
599069.9
333958.3
Blue98
157449.2
194316.1
331627.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152795010020025016398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+39Teleop
+53Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave3
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#14
68Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
6Processor points12
24Net points20
30Algae points32
98Total teleop81
Reef
10L4#6
9L3#4
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#23
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
12Foul points0
163Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5990
#7
69.90.7
63.3→64.0
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 20.7
1574
#4
49.20.8
44.5→45.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
Second
3339
#3
58.30.7
51.1→51.8
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
red by 30.5
3316
#22
27.90.8
24.3→25.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Third
4416
#17
22.60.7
20.3→20.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
red by 6.5
1943
#24
16.10.8
12.6→13.3
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed