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Red112
623014.9
307544.2
973824.7
Blue109
267931.0
474446.2
592825.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8070050100150200112109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+9
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +20
0Leave3
3Coral scored#7
16Coral points33
16Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +11
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
82Total teleop71
Reef
10L4#7
4L3#6
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
112Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.6
36.739.3
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
blue by 2.0
46.22.8
37.240.0
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Second
9738
#11
24.72.6
21.323.9
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
blue by 6.3
2679
#15
31.02.8
17.219.9
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Third
6230
#20
14.92.6
14.917.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.5
blue by 10.2
5928
#21
25.12.8
13.316.1
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed