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Red141
459043.7
169095.9
1069512.2
Blue114
565427.1
529126.1
209645.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1559650200250141114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave9
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points14
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +7
17Coral scored#17
60Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
82Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#5
8L3#7
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
6Foul points2
141Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.90.5
78.177.7
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 50.2
45.70.7
43.744.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
43.70.5
43.743.3
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
red by 16.6
5654
#16
27.10.7
26.627.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.0
End4.1
Third
12.20.5
12.211.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 13.9
5291
#29
26.11.1
22.623.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
71%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned