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Red105
973824.7
598747.2
706716.5
Blue85
529126.1
331627.9
267931.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917102040608010012014016010585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+6Teleop
+8Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +2
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
55Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points6
105Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
47.20.1
40.840.9
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 16.2
2679
#15
31.00.5
21.221.7
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Second
9738
#11
24.70.1
25.225.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
blue by 3.1
3316
#22
27.90.5
23.724.2
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Third
7067
#19
16.50.1
16.016.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
blue by 9.6
5291
#29
26.10.9
23.824.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned21%Barge oddsEarned