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Red75
267931.0
209645.7
1069512.2
Blue101
194316.1
599069.9
321125.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82117406010014016018075101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+8
Fouls+26
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points23
29Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +12
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
44Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#3
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +26
0Foul points18
75Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.5
48.047.6
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
blue by 24.3
69.91.6
64.563.0
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
Second
2679
#15
31.00.5
21.721.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
red by 5.4
3211
#23
25.51.6
25.924.4
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
Third
12.20.5
12.011.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 3.9
1943
#24
16.11.6
16.014.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed