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Red100
1069512.2
307544.2
706716.5
Blue94
333958.3
717712.5
194316.1
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7592406010012014010094

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#10
44Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
68Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#6
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points2
100Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.0
42.144.1
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
blue by 14.1
58.30.7
54.955.6
Auto14.8
Teleop37.2
End6.4
Second
7067
#19
16.52.0
16.918.9
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 0.4
1943
#24
16.10.7
14.415.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
Third
12.22.0
11.613.5
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
blue by 0.3
7177
#28
12.50.7
12.613.2
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned