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Red165
598747.2
599069.9
267931.0
Blue112
623014.9
784533.9
459043.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13696406080120160180200165112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+73Teleop
+65Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points17
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +55
17Coral scored#7
61Coral points24
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
18Processor points12
24Net points12
42Algae points24
103Total teleop48
Reef
12L4#3
6L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
2Foul points14
165Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.92.0
63.065.0
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 26.2
43.70.1
47.847.7
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
Second
5987
#10
47.22.0
42.244.3
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
red by 13.3
7845
#13
33.90.1
31.030.9
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
Third
2679
#15
31.02.0
21.323.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
red by 16.0
6230
#20
14.90.1
14.814.8
Auto4.5
Teleop8.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned