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Red196
169095.9
331627.9
157449.2
Blue76
529126.1
973824.7
674040.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178865010015020025019676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+42Auto
+110Teleop
+112Endgame
+120Fouls
AutonomousRed +42
3Leave0
11Coral scored#3
55Coral points16
58Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +68
23Coral scored#8
82Coral points28
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
110Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#3
13L3#5
6L2#2
6L1 · trough#1
40Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +120
12Foul points4
196Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95.91.4
82.683.9
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
red by 55.8
40.11.7
34.632.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Second
49.21.4
45.947.3
Auto16.0
Teleop30.0
End3.2
red by 23.1
5291
#29
26.12.8
25.722.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
Third
3316
#22
27.91.4
23.825.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
red by 3.1
9738
#11
24.71.7
26.024.3
Auto3.9
Teleop18.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned60%Barge oddsEarned