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Red117
307544.2
267931.0
194316.1
Blue70
306542.1
1069512.2
565427.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949670809010011012013011770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+35Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
22Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
79Total teleop54
Reef
6L4#4
6L3#5
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
117Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.22.3
44.146.4
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
red by 2.1
3065
#14
42.10.9
42.241.3
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
Second
2679
#15
31.02.3
23.325.6
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
red by 3.9
5654
#16
27.10.9
27.927.0
Auto5.9
Teleop17.0
End4.1
Third
1943
#24
16.12.3
15.117.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
red by 3.9
12.20.9
13.512.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed