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Red105
321125.5
157627.8
459043.7
Blue77
209645.7
331627.9
616816.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113935015020010577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+30Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#11
42Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
68Total teleop55
Reef
8L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points2
105Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.70.2
47.747.9
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
blue by 1.9
45.71.1
47.346.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
Second
1576
#12
27.80.2
31.331.5
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
blue by 0.1
3316
#22
27.91.1
25.124.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Third
3211
#23
25.50.2
23.523.6
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
red by 9.4
6168
#27
16.11.1
18.717.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed