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Red83
529126.1
308329.7
717712.5
Blue186
169095.9
592825.1
441622.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59141010020083186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+37
Teleop+93
Endgame+103
Fouls+103
AutonomousBlue +37
0Leave0
1Coral scored#9
6Coral points43
6Total auto43
TeleoperatedBlue +56
16Coral scored#26
59Coral points93
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#6
6Processor points12
8Net points24
14Algae points36
73Total teleop129
Reef
10L4#14
3L3#12
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +103
0Foul points0
83Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3083
#18
29.71.2
24.425.5
Auto2.2
Teleop27.1
End0.5
blue by 66.1
95.94.0
83.988.0
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
Second
5291
#29
26.11.8
22.924.7
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
red by 1.0
5928
#21
25.14.0
16.620.6
Auto6.5
Teleop17.0
End1.7
Third
7177
#28
12.51.2
13.214.4
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.6
blue by 10.0
4416
#17
22.64.0
19.323.4
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned