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Red163
474446.2
674040.1
599069.9
Blue125
513523.7
598747.2
784533.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479350200163125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave3
7Coral scored#5
35Coral points26
44Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +33
21Coral scored#15
75Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
6Processor points6
24Net points12
30Algae points18
105Total teleop72
Reef
11L4#9
8L3#5
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
35Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
163Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.91.9
62.063.9
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
red by 22.7
5987
#10
47.22.2
44.346.4
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
Second
46.21.9
39.241.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
red by 12.3
7845
#13
33.92.2
27.930.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
Third
40.11.9
32.934.8
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
red by 16.3
5135
#25
23.72.2
20.022.2
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned