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Red58
529126.1
321125.5
616816.1
Blue83
307544.2
717712.5
441622.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68924060801001201401605883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +3
8Coral scored#9
29Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
0Processor points6
16Net points8
16Algae points14
45Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points12
58Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5291
#29
26.10.8
24.723.9
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End3.3
blue by 18.1
44.20.9
46.445.5
Auto7.0
Teleop32.7
End4.6
Second
3211
#23
25.50.5
23.623.1
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
red by 3.0
4416
#17
22.60.9
23.422.5
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
Third
6168
#27
16.10.5
17.617.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 3.6
7177
#28
12.50.9
14.413.5
Auto1.0
Teleop9.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned