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Red98
267931.0
306542.1
513523.7
Blue100
331627.9
459043.7
674040.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98124608014016018098100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
0Endgame0
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points16
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +12
13Coral scored#13
48Coral points46
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
12Processor points6
20Net points16
32Algae points22
80Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#4
5L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points2
98Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3065
#14
42.10.2
41.341.5
Auto5.5
Teleop35.4
End1.3
blue by 1.6
43.70.9
47.947.0
Auto11.4
Teleop27.3
End5.0
Second
2679
#15
31.00.2
25.625.8
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
blue by 9.1
40.10.9
34.833.9
Auto8.6
Teleop27.8
End3.7
Third
5135
#25
23.70.2
22.222.4
Auto4.0
Teleop17.3
End2.4
blue by 4.2
3316
#22
27.90.9
24.123.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed73%Barge oddsEarned