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Red92
598747.2
194316.1
331627.9
Blue207
474446.2
784533.9
169095.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841815010015020025092207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+32
Teleop+97
Endgame+97
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +32
6Leave0
4Coral scored#12
20Coral points58
26Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +65
12Coral scored#25
42Coral points89
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
52Total teleop117
Reef
5L4#14
3L3#12
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#43
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points18
92Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5987
#10
47.20.3
47.747.9
Auto9.5
Teleop29.3
End8.3
blue by 48.7
95.92.0
87.489.5
Auto26.4
Teleop61.7
End7.8
Second
3316
#22
27.90.3
23.123.4
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
blue by 18.3
46.22.0
41.143.1
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
1943
#24
16.10.3
16.917.1
Auto4.9
Teleop9.6
End1.5
blue by 17.8
7845
#13
33.92.0
30.132.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed85%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned