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Red106
209645.7
321125.5
441622.6
Blue168
331627.9
474446.2
599069.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93143406080120160180200106168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+70
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +49
14Coral scored#26
51Coral points92
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#5
6Processor points6
12Net points20
18Algae points26
69Total teleop118
Reef
7L4#11
6L3#10
2L2#7
2L1 · trough#5
21Game pieces#39
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
106Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.70.7
46.747.4
Auto12.3
Teleop30.6
End2.8
blue by 24.3
69.92.5
64.466.8
Auto17.5
Teleop49.7
End2.7
Second
3211
#23
25.50.7
24.525.2
Auto4.0
Teleop19.2
End2.3
blue by 20.6
46.22.5
43.145.6
Auto13.2
Teleop31.6
End1.4
Third
4416
#17
22.60.7
24.024.7
Auto5.7
Teleop13.7
End3.1
blue by 5.3
3316
#22
27.92.5
23.425.9
Auto5.6
Teleop20.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsEarned31%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned42%Barge oddsMissed