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Red94
706716.5
267931.0
784533.9
Blue50
1069512.2
616816.1
157627.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7863020401001201401609450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
15Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +30
10Coral scored#5
35Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#3
6Processor points0
20Net points12
26Algae points12
61Total teleop31
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
4Foul points8
94Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7845
#13
33.91.0
32.133.1
Auto6.1
Teleop20.9
End6.9
red by 6.1
1576
#12
27.81.4
31.430.1
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End2.2
Second
2679
#15
31.01.0
27.328.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.8
End2.1
red by 14.9
6168
#27
16.11.4
17.516.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Third
7067
#19
16.51.0
15.916.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End0.7
red by 4.2
12.21.4
13.712.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.9
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed